Stephanie Dutkiewicz follows the motion of the ocean, its nutrients, and phytoplankton
Stephanie’s work begins with 3-Dimensional modeling of how ocean waters move and mix, an effort accomplished through collaboration with MIT research scientist Jeffrey Scott. She then overlays information on how carbon, nitrogen, phosphorus, and other nutrients move on top of these computer simulations.
Next, Stephanie models the biological component. “The oceans are responsible for about 50% of primary production,” explains Stephanie. “So 50% of the sunlight that is taken into the body of plant-like organisms (phytoplankton) occurs in the ocean.” These organisms take up carbon and other nutrients and, upon dying, some fraction sink to the bottom of the ocean, carrying those nutrients with them.
But not all phytoplankton are created equal— some species are better able to act as carbon sinks than others. Phytoplankton structure and type is driven by ocean circulation and the distribution of nutrients. Large species pull more carbon into deep ocean reservoirs when they sink; smaller species less.
As climate change affects ocean circulation and nutrient availability, some species may become “winners”, filling ecological niches and spreading to new geographical regions. Other species may die out. Stephanie models how these community structures change in the future, and how those changes in turn affect carbon cycling.
Unfortunately, it seems climate change favors mostly the smaller species, resulting in less of a carbon sink. “Understanding climate change means understanding feedbacks,” says Stephanie. “If the ocean takes up less carbon, that’s a feedback into the carbon system.”
During her 12 years at MIT, Stephanie has contributed to the development of the Joint Program’s Integrated Global Systems Model (IGSM) and collaborated with the MIT Climate Modeling Initiative and the Darwin Project. “I really like the group of people I’m working with. Developing this model has been quite exciting— it’s a good place to be.”
- October 05, 2011 10:43
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